Latest Blog Posts
Onterris (ONT) Follow-Up: The Monster Hammer, Climactic Volume & Classic VPA Absorption
Onterris (ONT) Follow-Up: The Monster Hammer, Climactic Volume & Classic VPA Absorption Two days ago we examined Onterris (NYSE: ONT) after the company cut full-year […]
Onterris (ONT) Poison Pill, Strategic Review & Undisclosed Accumulation: A Rare Setup for Traders
Onterris (ONT) Poison Pill, Strategic Review & Undisclosed Accumulation: A Rare Setup for Traders On 5 August 2026, Onterris, Inc. (NYSE: ONT) delivered a textbook […]
UiPath ($PATH), Wyckoff accumulation, and Volume Price Analysis.
UiPath ($PATH), Wyckoff accumulation, and Volume Price Analysis. In financial markets, price movement is merely an effect. The true cause behind any significant market move […]
USD/JPY at a Crossroads: Why Tokyo and Washington Are Fighting to Strengthen a “Too Weak” Yen
USD/JPY at a Crossroads: Why Tokyo and Washington Are Fighting to Strengthen a “Too Weak” Yen The yen has spent much of 2026 under intense […]
Central Banks Navigate an Energy Shock: Why the Fed and Bank of England Both Chose to Hold — and What It Reveals About Their Worldview
Central Banks Navigate an Energy Shock: Why the Fed and Bank of England Both Chose to Hold — and What It Reveals About Their Worldview […]
CME Group’s Single Stock Futures Launch: A Game-Changer for Retail Traders Using Volume Price Analysis
CME Group’s Single Stock Futures Launch: A Game-Changer for Retail Traders Using Volume Price Analysis On June 30, 2026, CME Group announced the launch of […]
SpaceX Stock (SPCX): The Classic Post-IPO Pattern in Action – Why Patience Looks Like the Smart Play
SpaceX Stock (SPCX): The Classic Post-IPO Pattern in Action – Why Patience Looks Like the Smart Play On 12 June 2026, SpaceX SPCX completed the […]
PayPal (PYPL): From Mid-$40s Entry to Takeover Rumors and Earnings Volatility – Our Take
PayPal (PYPL): From Mid-$40s Entry to Takeover Rumours and Earnings Volatility – Our Take Good morning from David and me! We’re excited to share our […]
SPCX Analysis: Post-IPO Correction, Short Squeeze Setup & Upcoming Lock-Ups
SPCX Analysis: Post-IPO Correction, Short Squeeze Setup & Upcoming Lock-Ups Hi everyone, I am back with a fresh update on SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp. […]
SPCX Weekly Chart – VPA 101 Lesson
SPCX Weekly Chart – VPA 101 Lesson Hi everyone. Take a look at this clean weekly chart of SPCX (Space Exploration Technologies). We’re now into […]
US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Oil Price Drop: VPA Lessons for Trading the Energy Sector & XLE
US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Oil Price Drop: VPA Lessons for Trading the Energy Sector & XLE The markets are breathing a collective sigh of relief this […]
The SpaceX Stock Lockup Countdown: The Exact Dates to Safely Buy SPCX Stock
The Coming Supply Wave: How SpaceX’s Unique Multi-Tiered Lockup Triggers the Ultimate Buy-and-Hold Opportunity The June 12, 2026, initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX (NASDAQ: […]
The FOMC Meeting in Summary: Steady Rates, Hawkish Tilt, and a Communication Overhaul
The FOMC Meeting in Summary: Steady Rates, Hawkish Tilt, and a Communication Overhaul The FOMC meeting voted unanimously to maintain rates. No surprise there — […]
SpaceX IPO: Why History Suggests Retail Will Provide Exit Liquidity Again – Lessons from the Meta IPO Chart and Multi-Document Filing Analysis
SpaceX IPO: The Hype Is Real, But History and the Filings Suggest Caution SpaceX is one of the most anticipated IPOs in history — 4x […]
Understanding USD/JPY: Why This Pair Behaves So Differently
Understanding USD/JPY: Why This Pair Behaves So Differently The USD/JPY is one of the most popular yet misunderstood currency pairs in the forex market. Many […]
The Anatomy of an Intervention: Decoding the Dark Pool and VPA Secrets of the Marvell Technology Breakout
The Anatomy of an Intervention: Decoding the Dark Pool and VPA Secrets of the Marvell Technology Breakout The semiconductor market is currently operating under a […]
The Volatility Matrix: Deciphering the Hidden Correlation Between the DXY and the VIX
The Volatility Matrix: Deciphering the Hidden Correlation Between the DXY and the VIX As traders, it is easy to develop a strategic blind spot. Equity […]
Sector ETF Review: June 1, 2026 – Beaten-Down Opportunities, Strong Performers, and What May Lie Ahead
Sector ETF Review: June 1, 2026 – Beaten-Down Opportunities, Strong Performers, and What May Lie Ahead Happy June and time for a sector ETF review! […]
Why the Smart Money Is Quietly Buying Up the AI Power Grid
Introduction: The Secret Fuel of the Artificial Intelligence Revolution (Know What The Smart Money Is Doing) The public market is currently obsessed with the “brains” […]
From Bitcoin Mines to AI Powerhouses: Why Riot Platforms (RIOT) Is One of the Most Intriguing Plays in the Energy-Hungry AI Era
From Bitcoin Mines to AI Powerhouses: Why Riot Platforms (RIOT) Is One of the Most Intriguing Plays in the Energy-Hungry AI Era As artificial intelligence […]
Situational Awareness LP Q1 2026 13F Filings: Explosive Growth to $13.7B – Doubling Down on AI Energy Infrastructure While Hedging the Semiconductor Layer
Situational Awareness 13F LP Q1 2026 13F: Explosive Growth to $13.7B – Doubling Down on AI Energy Infrastructure While Hedging the Semiconductor Layer One of […]
Why the March 2026 Sell-Off in SPY Was No Surprise — And What the Monthly Chart Is Really Telling You
The 13F filing season is always revealing, but this quarter has been particularly interesting. While we are still waiting for Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness LP […]
From Viral Essay to $5.5 Billion Hedge Fund: Leopold Aschenbrenner’s “Situational Awareness” Bets on AI Energy Infrastructure
From Viral Essay to $5.5 Billion Hedge Fund: Leopold Aschenbrenner’s “Situational Awareness” Bets on AI Energy Infrastructure Hi everyone – and in this post I […]
The Absurd Rise in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500 Is a Narrow, Low-Volume Mirage – Driven by Just Ten Stocks, Light Participation, and Extreme Concentration Risk. Extreme Caution Is Required.
The Absurd Rise in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500 Is a Narrow, Low-Volume Mirage – Driven by Just Ten Stocks, Light Participation, and Extreme Concentration […]
The Vertical Rise of the Nasdaq 100 rally: A Handful of Chip Stocks Are Driving a Move That Looks Increasingly Unsustainable
The Vertical Rise of the Nasdaq 100 rally: A Handful of Chip Stocks Are Driving a Move That Looks Increasingly Unsustainable Over the past few […]
Gold is almost at $4,400, while the US 30-year yield is rising to 5.25%.
Gold has no cash flow, so rising rates are bad for gold. Except when the Fed is losing control of long-term rates. Then it is extremely bullish for gold.
No matter how many times they intervene in USDJPY, as long as the U.S.–Japan interest-rate differential remains wide, the underlying carry trade remains alive.
Carry traders are still incentivized to borrow/short low-yielding JPY and buy higher-yielding USD assets.
So
Copper has been telling us all along that gold has some catching up to do.
This remains one of the most important divergences in markets today.
The lag is your friend.
https://open.substack.com/pub/tavicosta/p/the-tale-of-two-metals?r=2m39jp&utm_medium=ios
Warren Buffett was handed a firm about to die, and saved it with one rule he gave 8,000 employees
A scandal over rigged Treasury bids had Salomon Brothers days from collapse, and in front of Congress he drew the line he'd run it by
Pause at 2:09, the second the apology turns