Latest Blog Posts
The Art of the Wait: Why Aurora Innovation (AUR) Demands Patience at a 4-Year Crossroads
The Art of the Wait: Why Aurora Innovation (AUR) Demands Patience at a 4-Year Crossroads As traders, patience is the rarest commodity. We love action, […]
Textbook Monthly Accumulation After a Decade-Long Decline
Textbook Monthly Accumulation After a Decade-Long Decline Yesterday’s video lesson on accumulation and distribution, drawn from the live stream earlier in the week, pulled in […]
What US yields are saying now — and where the line in the sand sits for risk markets
What US yields are saying now — and where the line in the sand sits for risk markets The Treasury market is doing the talking […]
Out on the water at Marina di Scarlino today — Act 5 of the RS21 Cup is under way
Out on the water at Marina di Scarlino today—Act 5 of the RS21 Cup is underway. The RS21 is a modern one-design keelboat (about […]
Volume Price Analysis and Volatility: How to Read the Market Like a Professional Trader
Volume Price Analysis and Volatility: How to Read the Market Like a Professional Trader Whether you trade forex, crypto, or stocks, the same two forces […]
Dollar Breaks 100 After Fed Hike: Next Stop 101.5?
Dollar Breaks 100 After Fed Hike: Next Stop 101.5? The US Dollar Index has finally done what traders had been circling on the chart for […]
SPCX: Resistance at 155, IPO Digestion, and the Lock-Up Overhang
SPCX: Resistance at 155, IPO Digestion, and the Lock-Up Overhang SpaceX stock continues to struggle for traction from the mid-150s. On the daily chart, that […]
The 23-hour market is coming. What actually changes on 6 December — and who it favours
The 23-hour market is coming. What actually changes on 6 December — and who it favours On Sunday 6 December 2026, the US equity tape […]
Bank Stocks After CPI: How a Fed Hike Would Hit Majors, Regionals and the ETFs
Bank Stocks After CPI: How a Fed Hike Would Hit Majors, Regionals and the ETFs Why Banks Sit Next to the Fed Banking is a […]
August CPI Preview: How Friday’s Inflation Print Could Move Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and the Fed
August CPI Preview: How Friday’s Inflation Print Could Move Stocks, Bonds, the Dollar and the Fed Why This CPI Report Matters More Than Usual August […]
Palantir and Nebius: a sovereign AI stack, not a merger of equals
Palantir and Nebius: a sovereign AI stack, not a merger of equals The September 8 announcement that Palantir has named Nebius its preferred sovereign AI […]
DXY Rejects 100 Again: What Friday’s NFP Means for the Dollar
DXY Rejects 100 Again: What Friday’s NFP Means for the Dollar The dollar’s problem is no longer a story about a single print or a […]
Moderna’s Record 19 August Surge: The Volatility Candle That Traps Traders
The News That Sent Moderna Soaring The daily chart of Moderna on 19 August 2026 is one of those rare candles that every volume price […]
Friday’s NFP Jobs Report Is the Warm-Up. Next Week’s FOMC Is the Main Event
Friday’s NFP Jobs Report Is the Warm-Up. Next Week’s FOMC Is the Main Event. Markets have had three trading days to digest Kevin Warsh at […]
Why This Jackson Hole Speech Mattered
Why This Jackson Hole Speech Mattered Warsh took office on 22 May 2026, replacing Jerome Powell. Friday 28 August marked his 100th day as chair […]
Palantir: From Congestion Breakout to the All-Time High?
Palantir: From Congestion Breakout to the All-Time High? Background, the business, the Q2 reset — and why today’s close at $185.93 matters for a stock […]
Nvidia Earnings (NVDA): Has the Gloss Finally Come Off the Market’s Former Darling?
Nvidia Earnings (NVDA): Has the Gloss Finally Come Off the Market’s Former Darling? Nvidia reports earnings after the close today (4 pm EST / 21:00 […]
SPCX Stock Analysis August 2026: Daily Chart VPA Signals, Early August Bottom Rally & $149 Resistance
SPCX Stock Analysis August 2026: Daily Chart VPA Signals, Early August Bottom Rally & $149 Resistance SPCX stock analysis – SpaceX’s journey as a public […]
Oil Trading Essentials: Backwardation, Crack Spreads, Futures, Hormuz & Today’s Inventory Surprise
Oil Trading Essentials: Backwardation, Crack Spreads, Futures, Hormuz & Today’s Inventory Surprise Oil trading in the markets in mid-August 2026 remains highly sensitive to both […]
Tracking Money Flow Through Sector ETFs: Rotation, GICS, Wyckoff & VPA in Action
Tracking Money Flow Through Sector ETFs: Rotation, GICS, Wyckoff & VPA in Action In today’s markets, capital doesn’t stay put. It rotates constantly from one […]
Boston Scientific (BSX): A Classic VPA “Hockey Stick” Reversal – When Narrowing Spreads and Absorption Signal the Turn
Boston Scientific (BSX): A Classic VPA “Hockey Stick” Reversal – When Narrowing Spreads and Absorption Signal the Turn In the world of Volume Price Analysis […]
Onterris (ONT) Follow-Up: The Monster Hammer, Climactic Volume & Classic VPA Absorption
Onterris (ONT) Follow-Up: The Monster Hammer, Climactic Volume & Classic VPA Absorption Two days ago we examined Onterris (NYSE: ONT) after the company cut full-year […]
Onterris (ONT) Poison Pill, Strategic Review & Undisclosed Accumulation: A Rare Setup for Traders
Onterris (ONT) Poison Pill, Strategic Review & Undisclosed Accumulation: A Rare Setup for Traders On 5 August 2026, Onterris, Inc. (NYSE: ONT) delivered a textbook […]
UiPath ($PATH), Wyckoff accumulation, and Volume Price Analysis.
UiPath ($PATH), Wyckoff accumulation, and Volume Price Analysis. In financial markets, price movement is merely an effect. The true cause behind any significant market move […]
USD/JPY at a Crossroads: Why Tokyo and Washington Are Fighting to Strengthen a “Too Weak” Yen
USD/JPY at a Crossroads: Why Tokyo and Washington Are Fighting to Strengthen a “Too Weak” Yen The yen has spent much of 2026 under intense […]
Interesting perspective from Torsten Slok at Apollo today. It complements my Telegraph piece last week about whether economists are properly accounting for the inflationary impact of the great unbundling, and the growing customer preference, especially in banking, to stop being
Crazy but true…
If 94% of the stocks in the S&P 500 went to ZERO leaving only the highest market cap stocks (top 6%) the index would still trade at 4400.
The last time the S&P was @ 4400 was 3 yrs ago in Sept of 2023. 🤯
Rick Rule: There is nothing we can do to prevent copper prices to rise over the next five years.
- The industry needs to invest ~$250B just to maintain current production.
- Current production is already failing to meet demand.
- The industry is investing only ~$150B.
In other
Strait of Hormuz flows are hovering at ~13-14 million barrels a day (7-day average). That's about the same as the brief peak in July. But with two notable difference: a) Iranian flows are zero (rather than ~2m b/d); b) all flows are fresh loadings, rather than pre-loaded tankers.