Aussie dollar in focus

csi-1
Currency strength indicator – 4 hr

The commodity dollar now coming into the market’s cross hairs is, of course, the Aussie where a string of key releases are due in the coming hours. The data kicks off with retail sales, expected at 0.5% against a previous of 0.3%, along with the Trade Balance numbers where the forecast is for -3.06B against a previous of -2.75B. Later in the session we have the Cash Rate and RBA Rate Statement, so plenty going on in the Asian session.

From a technical perspective, and looking at some hourly charts the Aussie dollar has been attempting to rise as denoted by the currency strength indicator, and particularly against the New Zealand dollar, and it is also reflected on the 4 hr CSI where the have crossed. Whether the buying continues, given the news releases later, remains to be seen.

AUD/USD - monthly chart
AUD/USD – monthly chart

For the AUD/USD Friday’s failure to take out the 0.7365 resistance has seen the pair move back through the volume point of control in the key 0.73 region before 0.7260 held firm earlier today. 0.7260 also managed to give AUD/USD a very minor spring higher to 0.7286 before Friday’s bearish sentiment once again took hold. However, given the upcoming data for the Aussie the key level for AUD/USD is 0.7233 – July’s low for the pair. Should this be taken out then expect to see bearish momentum accelerate for AUD/USD.

By Anna Coulling

MT4 charts from Quantum Trading – mt4.quantumtrading.com

About Anna 1023 Articles
Hi – my name is Anna Coulling and I am a full time currency, commodities and equities trader. I have been involved in both trading and investing for over fifteen years and have traded many different financial instruments, from options and futures to stocks and commodities. I write and publish articles ( mostly for free ) for UK and international publications on a wide variety of financial issues, and in particular I enjoy helping others learn how to invest and trade.

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